MÖYKKYNEN
VIP
- Liittynyt
- 1.4.2007
- Viestejä
- 11 587
Heh, tämä olisi varmasti myös sosialistihallituksen mieleen. Kaikki vaan valtiolle/kunnalle töihin. Olisi täysin linjassa julkisen sektorin paisuttamisstrategian kanssa.
- Liittynyt
- 24.3.2013
- Viestejä
- 2 841
Totta tosiaan, varsinkin kun tuo Vantaa vaikuttaa muutenkin lukujen valossa pärjäävän niin mahdottoman hyvin ulkomaan voimavarojen suhteen, et kyllä tuo 16 000 testaajan armeija mahtuu hyvin vaikka sit sinne kotouttamisbudjettiin, se kun pääasiassa rajaton.
maltsu
VIP
- Liittynyt
- 24.6.2015
- Viestejä
- 19 542
Tässä on koko ajan konservatiiveilla ollut huoli siitä, että fundamentalistista kehitysmaista tulevista mamuista seuraa kaikenlaisia mahdollisia ongelmia koronasta väkivaltaan raiskauksiin terrorismiin ja kulkutauteihin, mutta muut eivät tunnu ottavan vakavasti.
Sitten kun ennustettavat asiat realisoituvat, niin kukaan ei palaa tähän edelliseen asiaan että alkusyytä pitäis rajoittaa, vaan keksitään jokin jatkohypoteesi miksi jostain täysin hatusta revitystä syystä tapahtumat tapahtuivat.
- Liittynyt
- 20.1.2010
- Viestejä
- 2 759
Meanwhile: Halutaan liikkumisrajoitukset ja maskipakko voimaan viikon päästä. Henkilökohtaisesti mulle alkaa riittää.
MÖYKKYNEN
VIP
- Liittynyt
- 1.4.2007
- Viestejä
- 11 587
Kuolleiden määrän delta minimaalisen pieni. Sairaalahoidossa olevien määrä on pysynyt vakiona. Vain tartuntojen määrä nousee mutta se riittää aiheuttamaan yhä massiivisempia ylireaktioita. Nyt olisi tärkeintä olla välittämättä noista uusista pakotuksista ja jatkaa elämää normaalisia varovaisuutta noudattaen, kuten influenssakin kanssa toimittaisiin.
- Liittynyt
- 18.6.2007
- Viestejä
- 6 726
Tätä itsekkin toivon, että pikku hiljaa sen joukon määrä kasvaa, jotka yksinkertaisesti lopettaa pelleilyn ja jatkaa normaalia elämää.
- Liittynyt
- 17.8.2006
- Viestejä
- 16 308
''Hallitus aikoo esittää alkuviikosta erillislakia, jolla säädettäisiin liikkumisrajoituksista ja maskipakosta koronavirustartuntojen hillitsemiseksi. Näin kertoo Helsingin Sanomat.
Lehden mukaan erillislain valmistelua kiihdytettiin sen jälkeen, kun hallituspuolueiden puheenjohtajat kokoontuivat perjantaina. Hallituksen esityksen valmisteluun osallistuvat ainakin valtioneuvoston kanslian, sosiaali- ja terveysministeriön ja oikeusministeriön virkamiehet.
Helsingin Sanomien lähteiden mukaan perjantaina vahvistui käsitys, ettei voimassa olevilla rajoituksilla tai pienillä lisärajoituksilla saada riittävästi koronavirustartuntoja vähenemään. Tavoitteena on saada uudet rajoitukset voimaan runsaan viikon kuluttua.''
Jep. Ainakaan Maskipakosta ei oo riittävästi näyttöä.
- Liittynyt
- 10.8.2006
- Viestejä
- 21 543
Noh jospa osa ihmisistä on niin tunnollisia että sitä noudattaa.
- Liittynyt
- 17.8.2006
- Viestejä
- 16 308
MOnelta eri kantilta maskin käyttö; https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-6625 Sain eräältä satakertaa minua älykkäämmältä kuin itseolen tohtorismieheltä aika vakuuttavan paperin. Ei taida olla kattavampaa paperia maskeista tällä hetkellä.
The benefits of mask wearing seem to outweigh the harms when COVID-19 is spreading in a population.
Randomized trials are sparse and have not addressed the question of source control.
Psychological effects of masks are culturally framed and shape acceptance and adherence.
Mandated masking involves a tradeoff with personal freedom.
Whether and when to mandate the wearing of masks or face coverings in public in an effort to control the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) remains controversial, and policies vary widely across countries (1). In many Asian countries, wearing masks was mandated or was already widespread from the start of the pandemic, but most Western countries initially discouraged it. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (2) and the World Health Organization (3) now recommend public masking in some circumstances. In this fast-moving field, what new evidence is available?
Well-documented examples of transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection between persons separated by several meters (8, 9), identification of a potentially viable virus in the air after many hours (10, 11), and detailed case analyses of “superspreader events” (12) lend weight to the hypothesis that airborne spread can occur (13). There is growing evidence to support replacing an oversimplified, droplet-or-aerosol model of disease spread with one that accounts for multiple interacting influences on how the virus travels in and through the air (7, 10, 14–25) (Table 1). Milton (25) has proposed a more nuanced categorization of particles, taken from the field of environmental health (Figure and Table 2).
Figure. Short-range transmission potential of ballistic drops and droplet aerosols in the inhalable, thoracic, and respiratory aerosol size and the effect of facemasks as source control.
(Reproduced with permission from Milton [25].).
Table 1. Some of the Many Interacting Factors Facilitating Airborne Transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 Virus*
Table 2. Summary of Particle Properties, Role in Transmission, and Implications for Infection Control
The functional receptor for SARS-CoV-2 is angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 protein, which is distributed in the oral and nasal mucosa and throughout the lungs from the trachea to the alveoli—opening up many potential entry routes for the virus (26). The smaller the particle in which the virus is carried, the deeper it can intrude into the respiratory system.
When an infected person speaks, shouts, coughs, or sneezes, the (more or less turbulent) gas cloud emitted can carry many particles of different sizes. Depending on their size, ballistic drops may fall to the ground within seconds, whereas smaller particles, aided by humidity and warmth of the exhaled air, can be carried several meters and linger in the air for extended periods (25). Four key factors influence the transmission of airborne respiratory viruses: ventilation, duration of contact, vocalization, and masking (7).
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 does not spread uniformly. Many infected persons do not infect anyone else, whereas a small proportion infect many—a phenomenon known as overdispersion (κ statistic) of the reproduction number (27). The κ statistic for COVID-19 has been estimated at 0.1 to 0.45 (20, 21), indicating higher dispersion than in, for example, pandemic influenza (where κ is closer to 1, indicating that infected persons all have similar infectivity) (28). In effect, overdispersion of this magnitude means that about 10% of infectious persons, so-called superspreaders, may be responsible for about 80% of secondary transmissions (21).
Mathematical modeling studies have confirmed that the main benefit of population masking is source control (protecting others from particles emitted by the wearer) and have shown that if adherence is high, even small reductions in individual transmission with “imperfect” masks and face coverings could lead to large effects on population spread, especially in crowded indoor settings (32–38).
Percolation theory (which considers what happens in networks when nodes are removed) proposes that masks may cause “connection gaps” between infected and susceptible persons and spreaders, thereby increasing the threshold at which the disease becomes epidemic (39). A simulation study of transmission events (published only as a preprint so far [40]) found that if persons who infect more than 10 others are avoided, the reproduction number will decrease below 1. This suggests that interventions that can achieve this efficiently need to be prioritized—especially because 20% to 30% of persons are asymptomatic (41) and a similar proportion are presymptomatic (42, 43) when they spread the virus.
A hypothesis speculates that masking may reduce the viral inoculum to which the wearer is exposed (a phenomenon known as variolation), leading to higher rates of mild or asymptomatic infection with COVID-19 and hence, potentially, generating immunity with less risk for severe illness (44). However, human data to support this hypothesis are lacking.
All of these studies were observational, but in all cases the benefits of masking persisted after correction for potential confounding variables. A simulation modeling study estimated that universal (100%) or near-universal (85%) mask use across the United States during the pandemic could prevent 129 574 deaths (95% CI, 85 284 to 170 867 deaths) or 95 814 deaths (CI, 60 731 to 133 077 deaths), respectively, during a 5-month period (48).
Only 1 published randomized trial has evaluated a community mask recommendation to prevent SARS-CoV-2 infection—the DANMASK-19 (Danish Study to Assess Face Masks for the Protection Against COVID-19 Infection) trial (51). This trial was designed to evaluate only the protective effect to mask wearers and not source control. The researchers randomly assigned 6024 healthy adults in Denmark to follow local public health measures plus a recommendation to either not wear or wear a surgical mask when outside the home among others for 30 days between April and June 2020. During this time, COVID-19 infection rates were modest, social distancing was in effect, and mask wearing was uncommon outside hospitals. The mask recommendation did not decrease personal infection rates by the target of 50% that the trial was designed to detect, but results were inconclusive and compatible with an effect ranging from a 46% decrease to a 23% increase in infection. Limitations of the study have been raised (52, 53), but the greatest limitation is that it was unable to evaluate the effect of a recommendation for widespread community mask wearing that would involve both personal protection and source control. Addressing the effectiveness of masks as source control would require a more complex, larger, and lengthier trial than DANMASK-19.
Randomized controlled trials are unlikely to resolve current controversies around population masking for several reasons (54). First, mechanistic evidence from the fluid dynamics of aerosol spread and international epidemiologic data summarized in this review already strongly support the hypothesis that masks are likely to be effective in controlling the spread of the virus. Second, given this existing evidence, trials in which some persons are asked not to wear a mask may be considered unethical because the criterion of equipoise is not met. Third, if the research question relates to mask wearing as source control, the optimum design (from a scientific perspective) would be to randomly assign entire communities in a large social experiment, which in the current context would likely be both unacceptable to some and impossible to orchestrate. Fourth, given the nonlinear overdispersion (21) and percolation (39, 40) phenomena described earlier, causality would be much harder to show in a trial. Fifth, as the modeling studies have shown (32–38, 48), the incidence of new cases may be significantly reduced over time by a decrease in transmission rate, which did not reach statistical significance in the short term.
Table 3. Factors Affecting Mask Performance
Laboratory studies have shown that both valved respirators and face shields are substantially less effective at blocking small airborne particles than either cloth or medical masks—the former because the valve (unless covered) effectively acts as an exhaust pipe and the latter because the shield may channel a powerful jet that escapes upward or downward (65, 69).
A narrative review summarized evidence that refuted the risk compensation hypothesis in the examples most commonly cited by mask skeptics (cycle helmets, seat belts, and interventions to prevent sexually transmitted diseases) (72). The authors also found no evidence to support the claim that risk compensation occurs with masks or face coverings and identified 3 studies that showed that if a person is wearing a mask, protective behaviors seem to increase in those around them (73–75). A fourth study, from Germany, found no evidence of risk compensation when masks were introduced for the public (76). Video evidence from public settings (for example, stations, parks, and shopping malls) in many countries before and after the introduction of masking policies found that those wearing masks touched their faces significantly less frequently than those not wearing masks (77). A systematic review designed to identify harms from mask wearing found no evidence of risk compensation or increased face touching (71).
Although some persons argue that discarded masks could transmit COVID-19 (78), we identified no published cases of the disease being acquired this way.
Bakhit and colleagues' (71) review also documented reports in health care workers of difficulties in face-to-face (but not telephone) communication with all kinds of masks, although most evidence related to respirators. One trial found that only 3% of health care workers had difficulty communicating when wearing a medical mask (81). Communication while masked may be particularly challenging with young children (82), older persons (83), and those with hearing impairments (84, 85). These problems are exacerbated by physical distancing and the muffling effect of mask materials on speech (84).
There is no easy answer to the question of how to balance communication needs with the need to reduce viral transmission. Recommended strategies include speaking slowly and clearly with a minimum of background noise, encouraging use of hearing aids, and using speech-to-text technologies (84, 86), although these are not always practicable or effective. Transparent masks and modified face shields (which include a cloth apron seal around the sides and bottom [84]) allow for lip reading, but the performance of such products is largely untested. One study in health care workers found that shields were perceived as uncomfortable and cumbersome and reduced the ability to hear others (87).
The hypothesis that masks may cause potentially harmful physiologic changes during exercise (90) has limited empirical support (91), perhaps partly because respirators and medical masks need to comply with standards for maximum airflow resistance. Although clinically minor physiologic changes have sometimes been shown when healthy volunteers do intensive exercise while wearing tightly fitting respirators (68, 92–94), those wearing medical (94, 95) and cloth (96) masks showed no physiologic changes during moderate or intensive exercise.
Although many policies acknowledge that some persons should be exempt from mask wearing (on the assumption that such persons could come to harm), there is no consistency—and little firm evidence—on who should be exempt (Table 4) .
Table 4. Exemption From Mask Wearing
High adherence to mask wearing in some non-Western countries is often attributed to greater conformism or collectivism but may have more complex explanations, including earlier experience of deadly epidemics, a medical tradition of using masks as protection against hay fever, and the practicalities of living with high levels of dust and atmospheric pollution (99–101). In many hot countries, both men and women traditionally wear loose pieces of cloth over the head and lower face to protect against heat and dust; such items were repurposed as protection against COVID-19 (102, 103). One Japanese anthropologist has depicted mask wearing by the Japanese as a way of restoring a sense of control in the face of uncertainties and establishing a boundary between a clean and pure inner self and a potentially polluted outside (100). For all of these reasons, mask wearing in some non-Western countries may promote rather than threaten a sense of autonomy, relatedness, and competence.
In a cultural environment where masks are common, persons may have learned to express and understand alternative cues to communicate emotions, whereas in Western societies, the readability of emotions may be hampered by masks (104). In 1 study, adherence to mask wearing was greater in those who empathized with persons who were vulnerable to COVID-19, and inducing empathy improved adherence, whereas merely informing persons of the benefits to others did not (67).
However, mandatory masking is unpopular with some and an infringement (albeit a relatively minor one) of individual freedom. Therefore, it should be restricted to situations where it is likely to be both effective and cost-effective (that is, when faced with a disease that is both prevalent and dangerous). It is not justified if the targeted disease is innocuous or can be prevented by other means that are more effective, more acceptable, less risky, or less expensive.
Coronavirus disease 2019 is not innocuous: It has killed millions of persons around the world (105), produced a cohort of survivors with chronic symptoms and unknown long-term prognosis (106), stretched health systems to (and sometimes beyond) their limits (107), and devastated economies (108). Voluntary masking has been successful in many Asian countries (notably Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong, and Taiwan) but less so in Western countries where the measure was less culturally acceptable (109).
Because of potential airborne transmission, COVID-19 is inherently difficult to contain. As with public masking, the effects and costs of school closures, gathering bans, border closures, quarantine regulations, travel restrictions, working from home, closing restaurants and nonessential shops, physical distancing rules, coughing etiquette, handwashing, and restricting visits to hospitals and nursing homes are difficult to quantify. Moreover, these measures play out differently and have different personal costs depending on the situation. For example, schools need to balance their duty of care to vulnerable pupils and staff with their educational mission and student welfare, which includes meeting the needs of pupils of different ages and abilities and those with (for example) autism and hearing impairments. Masking for only some groups, in some parts of schools and with exceptions granted, may be more appropriate than rigid universal mandates.
Concerns about environmental pollution from mask waste (110, 111) are well founded given that medical masks are made from petrochemicals and are nonbiodegradable. Homemade washable cloth face coverings are more environmentally friendly and may have greater cultural appeal (and hence, better adherence) (66, 109).
As masking has become recommended or mandated, there is an urgent research agenda to develop alternatives that are more efficient, more comfortable, more acceptable, less disruptive of normal communication practices, and more environmentally friendly than currently available products.
Until the threat of the pandemic is behind us, we recommend that the public wear masks or face coverings in situations and settings where risk for transmission is high—notably where ventilation is poor, when large numbers of persons are gathered, when some are vocalizing (especially singing or shouting), and when contact is prolonged (7).
Trisha Greenhalgh
Thomas Czypionka
Manuel Bryant
Dirk Bassler
Eileen Barrett, MD, MPH, Samuel MacBride, MDUniversity of New Mexico18 January 2021
When pushing against mask mandates, many politicians and individuals cite that these laws violate their First Amendment right to freedom of expression – seemingly unaware that in a recent majority decision of the Supreme Court of the United States, Chief Justice John Roberts wrote “Our Constitution principally entrusts “[t]he safety and the health of the people” to the politically accountable officials of the States “to guard and to protect”(2). Chief Justice Roberts was writing specifically about a state mandate designed to reduce deaths from COVID when the US was nearing 100,000 deaths. As we near 400,000 deaths and the urgency for widespread public health measures to prevent additional spread, it seems even more fitting to recall Supreme Court Justice Arthur Goldberg’s statement in 1963 that the Constitution ‘is not a suicide pact’ (3). All physicians should know the limits to freedom of expression. Thus we recommend physicians use the language that mask mandates require a tradeoff with personal preference since the term freedom may be conflated with the term (Constitutional) right and the Supreme Court has found that it does not constitute an infringement on Constitutional rights.
Eileen Barrett, MD, MPH
University of New Mexico Hospital
Abstract
Whether and when to mandate the wearing of facemasks in the community to prevent the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 remains controversial. Published literature across disciplines about the role of masks in mitigating severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission is summarized. Growing evidence that SARS-CoV-2 is airborne indicates that infection control interventions must go beyond contact and droplet measures (such as handwashing and cleaning surfaces) and attend to masking and ventilation. Observational evidence suggests that masks work mainly by source control (preventing infected persons from transmitting the virus to others), but laboratory studies of mask filtration properties suggest that they could also provide some protection to wearers (protective effect). Even small reductions in individual transmission could lead to substantial reductions in population spread. To date, only 1 randomized controlled trial has examined a community mask recommendation. This trial did not identify a significant protective effect and was not designed to evaluate source control. Filtration properties and comfort vary widely across mask types. Masks may cause discomfort and communication difficulties. However, there is no evidence that masks result in significant physiologic decompensation or that risk compensation and fomite transmission are associated with mask wearing. The psychological effects of masks are culturally shaped; they may include threats to autonomy, social relatedness, and competence. Evidence suggests that the potential benefits of wearing masks likely outweigh the potential harms when SARS-CoV-2 is spreading in a community. However, mask mandates involve a tradeoff with personal freedom, so such policies should be pursued only if the threat is substantial and mitigation of spread cannot be achieved through other means.Key Summary Points
Masks and face coverings, if widely worn, may substantially reduce the spread of COVID-19.The benefits of mask wearing seem to outweigh the harms when COVID-19 is spreading in a population.
Randomized trials are sparse and have not addressed the question of source control.
Psychological effects of masks are culturally framed and shape acceptance and adherence.
Mandated masking involves a tradeoff with personal freedom.
Whether and when to mandate the wearing of masks or face coverings in public in an effort to control the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) remains controversial, and policies vary widely across countries (1). In many Asian countries, wearing masks was mandated or was already widespread from the start of the pandemic, but most Western countries initially discouraged it. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (2) and the World Health Organization (3) now recommend public masking in some circumstances. In this fast-moving field, what new evidence is available?
Method and Search Strategy
In a March 2020 review, we summarized available evidence and concluded that although the potential benefits of community masking seemed high and the potential for significant harm seemed low, there was almost no direct, definitive evidence either way (4). We tracked citations of that review and other early articles through Google Scholar to locate additional studies in any language up to the end of October 2020 on the grounds that citation tracking is more effective and efficient than keyword database searching when exploring a diverse literature in which terminology is used inconsistently (5). We used a narrative (hermeneutic) approach to summarize and critique key contributions (6). Reviewer feedback prompted additional targeted searches. We focused mainly but not exclusively on material published since our previous narrative review (4).Transmission Dynamics of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Are More Complex Than Previously Believed
Infection control measures for respiratory diseases traditionally distinguish droplets (large, heavy, and believed to account for transmission within 1 to 2 meters) from aerosols (smaller, lighter, and believed to account for more distant transmission) (7). Precautions aimed at contact and droplet control include surface cleansing, handwashing, physical distancing, and wearing masks if less than 6 feet apart; those aimed at controlling airborne diseases include ventilation and wearing masks if sharing air.Well-documented examples of transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection between persons separated by several meters (8, 9), identification of a potentially viable virus in the air after many hours (10, 11), and detailed case analyses of “superspreader events” (12) lend weight to the hypothesis that airborne spread can occur (13). There is growing evidence to support replacing an oversimplified, droplet-or-aerosol model of disease spread with one that accounts for multiple interacting influences on how the virus travels in and through the air (7, 10, 14–25) (Table 1). Milton (25) has proposed a more nuanced categorization of particles, taken from the field of environmental health (Figure and Table 2).
Figure. Short-range transmission potential of ballistic drops and droplet aerosols in the inhalable, thoracic, and respiratory aerosol size and the effect of facemasks as source control.
(Reproduced with permission from Milton [25].).
Table 1. Some of the Many Interacting Factors Facilitating Airborne Transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 Virus*
|
Table 2. Summary of Particle Properties, Role in Transmission, and Implications for Infection Control
|
The functional receptor for SARS-CoV-2 is angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 protein, which is distributed in the oral and nasal mucosa and throughout the lungs from the trachea to the alveoli—opening up many potential entry routes for the virus (26). The smaller the particle in which the virus is carried, the deeper it can intrude into the respiratory system.
When an infected person speaks, shouts, coughs, or sneezes, the (more or less turbulent) gas cloud emitted can carry many particles of different sizes. Depending on their size, ballistic drops may fall to the ground within seconds, whereas smaller particles, aided by humidity and warmth of the exhaled air, can be carried several meters and linger in the air for extended periods (25). Four key factors influence the transmission of airborne respiratory viruses: ventilation, duration of contact, vocalization, and masking (7).
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 does not spread uniformly. Many infected persons do not infect anyone else, whereas a small proportion infect many—a phenomenon known as overdispersion (κ statistic) of the reproduction number (27). The κ statistic for COVID-19 has been estimated at 0.1 to 0.45 (20, 21), indicating higher dispersion than in, for example, pandemic influenza (where κ is closer to 1, indicating that infected persons all have similar infectivity) (28). In effect, overdispersion of this magnitude means that about 10% of infectious persons, so-called superspreaders, may be responsible for about 80% of secondary transmissions (21).
Masks and Face Coverings Work as Source Control—and May Protect the Wearer
It was initially assumed that to be effective, a mask should protect the individual wearer from all or most infectious particles (29). Whereas medical masks are made to standard specifications and are intended to protect both the wearer and others, cloth face coverings vary widely in design and efficacy (30). However, as noted in 1 commentary, “The point is not that some particles can penetrate [cloth face coverings] but that some particles are stopped, particularly in the outward direction” (31).Mathematical modeling studies have confirmed that the main benefit of population masking is source control (protecting others from particles emitted by the wearer) and have shown that if adherence is high, even small reductions in individual transmission with “imperfect” masks and face coverings could lead to large effects on population spread, especially in crowded indoor settings (32–38).
Percolation theory (which considers what happens in networks when nodes are removed) proposes that masks may cause “connection gaps” between infected and susceptible persons and spreaders, thereby increasing the threshold at which the disease becomes epidemic (39). A simulation study of transmission events (published only as a preprint so far [40]) found that if persons who infect more than 10 others are avoided, the reproduction number will decrease below 1. This suggests that interventions that can achieve this efficiently need to be prioritized—especially because 20% to 30% of persons are asymptomatic (41) and a similar proportion are presymptomatic (42, 43) when they spread the virus.
A hypothesis speculates that masking may reduce the viral inoculum to which the wearer is exposed (a phenomenon known as variolation), leading to higher rates of mild or asymptomatic infection with COVID-19 and hence, potentially, generating immunity with less risk for severe illness (44). However, human data to support this hypothesis are lacking.
Universal Masking is Associated With Fewer New Cases and Lower Mortality
Several studies have shown a strong negative correlation between the introduction of universal masking and the incidence of new COVID-19 infections. For example, the introduction of mandatory masking in many states was associated with a decline in daily COVID-19 growth rate by 0.9, 1.1, 1.4, 1.7, and 2.0 percentage points at 1 to 5, 6 to 10, 11 to 15, 16 to 20, and 21 or more days, respectively, after state facemask orders were signed (P 0.05 or less for all time periods as reported by the authors) (45). An observational study comparing 34 regions of Ontario, Canada, which introduced mask mandates on different dates, found that in the weeks after implementation, such mandates were associated with 25% fewer new cases of COVID-19 per week (46). In a study across 200 countries, in those with cultural norms or government policies supporting public masking, per capita mortality from COVID-19 increased by 16.2% per week, compared with 61.9% per week in the remaining countries (47).All of these studies were observational, but in all cases the benefits of masking persisted after correction for potential confounding variables. A simulation modeling study estimated that universal (100%) or near-universal (85%) mask use across the United States during the pandemic could prevent 129 574 deaths (95% CI, 85 284 to 170 867 deaths) or 95 814 deaths (CI, 60 731 to 133 077 deaths), respectively, during a 5-month period (48).
Evidence From Randomized Controlled Trials Remains Sparse
A systematic review synthesized 29 adjusted and 10 unadjusted trials of masks in control of various respiratory infections and concluded that “[f]ace mask use could result in a large reduction in risk of infection” (49). However, only 3 of the included studies were done in community settings (the rest were of health care workers), and all of these related to prevention of SARS (the disease caused by SARS-CoV-1), not COVID-19 (the new disease caused by SARS-CoV-2). A living systematic review identified some additional community trials (mostly historical studies of masks to prevent influenza transmission) and highlighted the absence of experimental trials of masks for source control of COVID-19 in community settings (50).Only 1 published randomized trial has evaluated a community mask recommendation to prevent SARS-CoV-2 infection—the DANMASK-19 (Danish Study to Assess Face Masks for the Protection Against COVID-19 Infection) trial (51). This trial was designed to evaluate only the protective effect to mask wearers and not source control. The researchers randomly assigned 6024 healthy adults in Denmark to follow local public health measures plus a recommendation to either not wear or wear a surgical mask when outside the home among others for 30 days between April and June 2020. During this time, COVID-19 infection rates were modest, social distancing was in effect, and mask wearing was uncommon outside hospitals. The mask recommendation did not decrease personal infection rates by the target of 50% that the trial was designed to detect, but results were inconclusive and compatible with an effect ranging from a 46% decrease to a 23% increase in infection. Limitations of the study have been raised (52, 53), but the greatest limitation is that it was unable to evaluate the effect of a recommendation for widespread community mask wearing that would involve both personal protection and source control. Addressing the effectiveness of masks as source control would require a more complex, larger, and lengthier trial than DANMASK-19.
Randomized controlled trials are unlikely to resolve current controversies around population masking for several reasons (54). First, mechanistic evidence from the fluid dynamics of aerosol spread and international epidemiologic data summarized in this review already strongly support the hypothesis that masks are likely to be effective in controlling the spread of the virus. Second, given this existing evidence, trials in which some persons are asked not to wear a mask may be considered unethical because the criterion of equipoise is not met. Third, if the research question relates to mask wearing as source control, the optimum design (from a scientific perspective) would be to randomly assign entire communities in a large social experiment, which in the current context would likely be both unacceptable to some and impossible to orchestrate. Fourth, given the nonlinear overdispersion (21) and percolation (39, 40) phenomena described earlier, causality would be much harder to show in a trial. Fifth, as the modeling studies have shown (32–38, 48), the incidence of new cases may be significantly reduced over time by a decrease in transmission rate, which did not reach statistical significance in the short term.
A Mask Needs to Block the Virus—and Be Comfortable
Whether the mask is worn to protect the wearer or others, 3 aspects of performance must be optimized: filtration efficiency (its ability to block the full range of hazardous particles over different levels of airflow), fit (to minimize leakage around the edges), and resistance (so the mask is not difficult to breathe through) (30, 31, 55–61). Masks undoubtedly reduce droplet spread from coughs and sneezes (23) but, to be effective, need to block smaller airborne particles too and be sufficiently comfortable and acceptable to be worn correctly and kept on for long periods (30, 31, 58–60, 62–65). Table 3 lists influences on mask performance and implications for maximizing it.Table 3. Factors Affecting Mask Performance
|
Laboratory studies have shown that both valved respirators and face shields are substantially less effective at blocking small airborne particles than either cloth or medical masks—the former because the valve (unless covered) effectively acts as an exhaust pipe and the latter because the shield may channel a powerful jet that escapes upward or downward (65, 69).
Claims of Risk Compensation and Fomite Transmission Have Not Been Substantiated
Scientists and policymakers initially expressed concern that masks or face coverings could cause risk compensation (the wearer reduces other protective behaviors out of a false sense of security) or increase risk for transmission by acting as fomites (especially if there is increased face touching followed by touching of an environmental surface) (70, 71).A narrative review summarized evidence that refuted the risk compensation hypothesis in the examples most commonly cited by mask skeptics (cycle helmets, seat belts, and interventions to prevent sexually transmitted diseases) (72). The authors also found no evidence to support the claim that risk compensation occurs with masks or face coverings and identified 3 studies that showed that if a person is wearing a mask, protective behaviors seem to increase in those around them (73–75). A fourth study, from Germany, found no evidence of risk compensation when masks were introduced for the public (76). Video evidence from public settings (for example, stations, parks, and shopping malls) in many countries before and after the introduction of masking policies found that those wearing masks touched their faces significantly less frequently than those not wearing masks (77). A systematic review designed to identify harms from mask wearing found no evidence of risk compensation or increased face touching (71).
Although some persons argue that discarded masks could transmit COVID-19 (78), we identified no published cases of the disease being acquired this way.
Masks May Cause Discomfort and Communication Difficulties
Bakhit and colleagues' (71) systematic review identified consistent evidence of discomfort, subjective difficulty breathing, skin rashes, and headache with prolonged use of respirators and medical masks by health care workers and more limited evidence of discomfort and difficulty breathing with cloth masks. A narrative review by Scheid and colleagues (64) listed headache, skin itching, and rashes and a perception of breathlessness among health care workers who wore medical masks or respirators for prolonged periods during the COVID-19 pandemic but noted that symptoms may have been exacerbated by long working hours, stress, and anxiety. A large Polish study of self-reported symptoms among the general public found that around 20% experienced facial itching with prolonged mask wearing (79). Children seem to experience similar kinds of discomfort to adults when wearing medical masks (80).Bakhit and colleagues' (71) review also documented reports in health care workers of difficulties in face-to-face (but not telephone) communication with all kinds of masks, although most evidence related to respirators. One trial found that only 3% of health care workers had difficulty communicating when wearing a medical mask (81). Communication while masked may be particularly challenging with young children (82), older persons (83), and those with hearing impairments (84, 85). These problems are exacerbated by physical distancing and the muffling effect of mask materials on speech (84).
There is no easy answer to the question of how to balance communication needs with the need to reduce viral transmission. Recommended strategies include speaking slowly and clearly with a minimum of background noise, encouraging use of hearing aids, and using speech-to-text technologies (84, 86), although these are not always practicable or effective. Transparent masks and modified face shields (which include a cloth apron seal around the sides and bottom [84]) allow for lip reading, but the performance of such products is largely untested. One study in health care workers found that shields were perceived as uncomfortable and cumbersome and reduced the ability to hear others (87).
Claims of Physiologic Decompensation Are Not Substantiated
We found no empirical evidence to support the claim that medical masks or cloth face coverings interfere with gas exchange to a clinically significant extent in healthy persons at rest. In nurses wearing medical masks through a 12-hour shift, no changes were seen in blood carbon dioxide or oxygen levels; minor changes in carbon dioxide levels were detected after wearing a respirator for 12 hours (88). Another study, on surgeons wearing surgical masks, showed a decrease in blood oxygen levels from 98% to 96% during prolonged surgery—a difference that was statistically significant but not clinically relevant (89).The hypothesis that masks may cause potentially harmful physiologic changes during exercise (90) has limited empirical support (91), perhaps partly because respirators and medical masks need to comply with standards for maximum airflow resistance. Although clinically minor physiologic changes have sometimes been shown when healthy volunteers do intensive exercise while wearing tightly fitting respirators (68, 92–94), those wearing medical (94, 95) and cloth (96) masks showed no physiologic changes during moderate or intensive exercise.
Although many policies acknowledge that some persons should be exempt from mask wearing (on the assumption that such persons could come to harm), there is no consistency—and little firm evidence—on who should be exempt (Table 4) .
Table 4. Exemption From Mask Wearing
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The Psychology of Mask Wearing Varies With Cultural Context
Scheid and colleagues (64) draw on the self-determination theory to consider the effect of mask wearing on what they call 3 universal, fundamental needs for optimal well-being: autonomy (the ability to have free will and choice over one's actions), psychological relatedness (feeling socially connected to others), and competence (the feeling that we are effective and capable and have mastery over our circumstances). Mandated mask wearing, they suggest, threatens autonomy, which may explain the high levels of resistance to such policies in some settings. Mask wearing may also threaten psychological relatedness in settings, such as the United States, where commitment to it is strongly linked to 1 political party, leading to ingroup–outgroup (us vs. them) identity issues (64). Some political and religious leaders have depicted mask wearing as female and submissive, hence inappropriate for men (64, 98). Competence, in this context, is related to people's perception of whether wearing a mask will be effective. Mixed messages about the efficacy and harms of masking in the early months of the pandemic led to confusion and lack of confidence in this intervention (64) and may partly explain occasional reports of anxiety (for example, concern about becoming infected) and perceived stigma (71).High adherence to mask wearing in some non-Western countries is often attributed to greater conformism or collectivism but may have more complex explanations, including earlier experience of deadly epidemics, a medical tradition of using masks as protection against hay fever, and the practicalities of living with high levels of dust and atmospheric pollution (99–101). In many hot countries, both men and women traditionally wear loose pieces of cloth over the head and lower face to protect against heat and dust; such items were repurposed as protection against COVID-19 (102, 103). One Japanese anthropologist has depicted mask wearing by the Japanese as a way of restoring a sense of control in the face of uncertainties and establishing a boundary between a clean and pure inner self and a potentially polluted outside (100). For all of these reasons, mask wearing in some non-Western countries may promote rather than threaten a sense of autonomy, relatedness, and competence.
In a cultural environment where masks are common, persons may have learned to express and understand alternative cues to communicate emotions, whereas in Western societies, the readability of emotions may be hampered by masks (104). In 1 study, adherence to mask wearing was greater in those who empathized with persons who were vulnerable to COVID-19, and inducing empathy improved adherence, whereas merely informing persons of the benefits to others did not (67).
Benefits Must Be Balanced Against Harms and Acceptability
The observational studies summarized earlier (45–47, 63), along with the modeling studies (32–38, 48), suggest that across a range of scenarios the use of masks among the general public is an effective strategy in mitigating transmission of SARS-CoV-2. Even with a limited protective effect, masks can reduce total infections and deaths (especially in relation to presymptomatic transmission) and delay the peak time of the epidemic.However, mandatory masking is unpopular with some and an infringement (albeit a relatively minor one) of individual freedom. Therefore, it should be restricted to situations where it is likely to be both effective and cost-effective (that is, when faced with a disease that is both prevalent and dangerous). It is not justified if the targeted disease is innocuous or can be prevented by other means that are more effective, more acceptable, less risky, or less expensive.
Coronavirus disease 2019 is not innocuous: It has killed millions of persons around the world (105), produced a cohort of survivors with chronic symptoms and unknown long-term prognosis (106), stretched health systems to (and sometimes beyond) their limits (107), and devastated economies (108). Voluntary masking has been successful in many Asian countries (notably Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong, and Taiwan) but less so in Western countries where the measure was less culturally acceptable (109).
Because of potential airborne transmission, COVID-19 is inherently difficult to contain. As with public masking, the effects and costs of school closures, gathering bans, border closures, quarantine regulations, travel restrictions, working from home, closing restaurants and nonessential shops, physical distancing rules, coughing etiquette, handwashing, and restricting visits to hospitals and nursing homes are difficult to quantify. Moreover, these measures play out differently and have different personal costs depending on the situation. For example, schools need to balance their duty of care to vulnerable pupils and staff with their educational mission and student welfare, which includes meeting the needs of pupils of different ages and abilities and those with (for example) autism and hearing impairments. Masking for only some groups, in some parts of schools and with exceptions granted, may be more appropriate than rigid universal mandates.
Concerns about environmental pollution from mask waste (110, 111) are well founded given that medical masks are made from petrochemicals and are nonbiodegradable. Homemade washable cloth face coverings are more environmentally friendly and may have greater cultural appeal (and hence, better adherence) (66, 109).
Conclusion
This narrative review has summarized a heterogeneous body of evidence on population masking in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Evidence that the virus can be airborne (and therefore be inhaled) and that masking policies, when effectively delivered, save lives is now strong. There is no evidence of serious harms from masks and face coverings, although discomfort, communication difficulties, and environmental effects are not insignificant. Psychological effects, which are culturally framed, shape acceptance and adherence.As masking has become recommended or mandated, there is an urgent research agenda to develop alternatives that are more efficient, more comfortable, more acceptable, less disruptive of normal communication practices, and more environmentally friendly than currently available products.
Until the threat of the pandemic is behind us, we recommend that the public wear masks or face coverings in situations and settings where risk for transmission is high—notably where ventilation is poor, when large numbers of persons are gathered, when some are vocalizing (especially singing or shouting), and when contact is prolonged (7).
Trisha Greenhalgh, Thomas Czypionka, Manuel Bryant, Dirk BasslerUniversity of Oxford, UK19 January 2021Response to Barrett & MacBride
We thank Dr Barrett and Dr MacBride for their response. We acknowledge that there has been a heated debate on constitutional issues in the USA, but our paper was aimed at an international audience and our comments on mask mandates were not related to any particular legal context. Rather, our point was philosophical - that a mandate which requires someone to wear a mask will inevitably reduce their freedom not to wear a mask. We do not believe the paper needs amending for accuracy but we look forward to following further discussion about the US situation.Trisha Greenhalgh
Thomas Czypionka
Manuel Bryant
Dirk Bassler
Eileen Barrett, MD, MPH, Samuel MacBride, MDUniversity of New Mexico18 January 2021
Avoiding a false dichotomy between Constitutional rights and the public's health
We read with interest the timely narrative update by Czypionka et al (1) on masks and face coverings, particularly the thoughtful integration of existing data with knowledge of cultural and social factors that may affect mask use. We respectfully recommend that concluding comments on mandatory masking be revised so as not to perpetuate a false dichotomy between Constitutional rights and the public’s health.When pushing against mask mandates, many politicians and individuals cite that these laws violate their First Amendment right to freedom of expression – seemingly unaware that in a recent majority decision of the Supreme Court of the United States, Chief Justice John Roberts wrote “Our Constitution principally entrusts “[t]he safety and the health of the people” to the politically accountable officials of the States “to guard and to protect”(2). Chief Justice Roberts was writing specifically about a state mandate designed to reduce deaths from COVID when the US was nearing 100,000 deaths. As we near 400,000 deaths and the urgency for widespread public health measures to prevent additional spread, it seems even more fitting to recall Supreme Court Justice Arthur Goldberg’s statement in 1963 that the Constitution ‘is not a suicide pact’ (3). All physicians should know the limits to freedom of expression. Thus we recommend physicians use the language that mask mandates require a tradeoff with personal preference since the term freedom may be conflated with the term (Constitutional) right and the Supreme Court has found that it does not constitute an infringement on Constitutional rights.
Eileen Barrett, MD, MPH
University of New Mexico Hospital
- Liittynyt
- 17.8.2006
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- 16 308
Suomennos ja lyhennelmä: hyödyt voittaa haitat.
e: tykkään tosta lapusta siks koska siin on monelta eri kantiltaasioita otettu huomioon.
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- 24.3.2013
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- 2 841
No onneksi täällä pohjoisessa ei ole ainakaan vielä niin justiinsa maskien kanssa. Saa halutessaan elää normaalia elämää. Eli ei ole viel peli täysin menetetty.
- Liittynyt
- 19.1.2010
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- 8 160
Taas tuntuu kiihtyvän tämä maskien puhe maskien hyödyllisyydestä, eli tutkimuksilla, faktoilla ja datalla ei tunnu olevan mitään merkitystä, kun usko voittaa nämä mennen tullen, ja aina löytyy joku "auktoriteetti" joka satuilee omia mielipiteitään tai esittelee hienoja teorioitaan, ja nämä otetaan vastaan ehdottomina totuuksina ja uskonkappaleina. Elomaan noin viikon takainen erittäin hyvä kirjoitus aiheesta, suosittelen lukemaan ja luetun ymmärtäminen on vielä plussaa...
puheenvuoro.uusisuomi.fi
Maskipakko vai sakko? | Uusi Suomi Puheenvuoro
Suomessa on jälleen kiihtymässä sulkutoimet, vaikka epidemiatilanne on rauhallinen. Sulkutoimia ja jopa maskipakkoa tuodaan toistuvasti esiin tämän ”kauhistuttavan” tilanteen korjaamiseksi.
puheenvuoro.uusisuomi.fi
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- 17.8.2006
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- 16 308
Kannattaa villeveikon päivittää lähteensä:Taas tuntuu kiihtyvän tämä maskien puhe maskien hyödyllisyydestä, eli tutkimuksilla, faktoilla ja datalla ei tunnu olevan mitään merkitystä, kun usko voittaa nämä mennen tullen, ja aina löytyy joku "auktoriteetti" joka satuilee omia mielipiteitään tai esittelee hienoja teorioitaan, ja nämä otetaan vastaan ehdottomina totuuksina ja uskonkappaleina. Elomaan noin viikon takainen erittäin hyvä kirjoitus aiheesta, suosittelen lukemaan ja luetun ymmärtäminen on vielä plussaa...
Maskipakko vai sakko? | Uusi Suomi Puheenvuoro
Suomessa on jälleen kiihtymässä sulkutoimet, vaikka epidemiatilanne on rauhallinen. Sulkutoimia ja jopa maskipakkoa tuodaan toistuvasti esiin tämän ”kauhistuttavan” tilanteen korjaamiseksi.
This document, which is an update of the guidance published on 5 June 2020, includes new scientific evidence relevant to the use of masks for reducing the spread of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, and practical considerations
1.12.2020. who:
edit. who:n päivitys myös toiseen asiaan;
Asymptomatic transmission – transmission from people infected with SARS-CoV-2 who never develop symptoms – can occur. One systematic review of 79 studies found that 20% (17–25%) of people remained asymptomatic throughout the course of infection. (28). Another systematic review, which included 13 studies considered to be at low risk of bias, estimated that 17% of cases remain asymptomatic (14%–20%) (30). Viable virus has been isolated from specimens of presymptomatic and asymptomatic individuals, suggesting that people who do not have symptoms may be able to transmit the virus to others. (25, 29-37)
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- 23.6.2008
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- 3 764
Sopii kysyä miten ihmeessä WHO, jossa luulisi olevan enemmän asiantuntemusta kuin missään muualla, muuttuu lausunnot tossa ajassa täysin päinvastaisiksi..
- Liittynyt
- 17.8.2006
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- 16 308
Olisiko lisääntynyt evidenssin määrä? Seurataan tieteen konsensusta kun tulee lisää dataa? Pitää muistaa, että covid19 on vieläkin aika uus tauti.
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- 17.8.2006
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- 16 308
- Liittynyt
- 19.1.2010
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- 8 160
Olen tänne jo aikaisemminkin postannut tänne sen jutun (nyt en sitä jaksa ruveta etsimään), missä WHO:n edustaja myöntää toimittajalle ihan suoraan että WHO:n maskipakko suositus johtui poliittisesta painostuksesta.
Kannattaa aina suhtautua tietyllä varauksella semmoisten tahojen julkaisuihin jotka ovat ulkopuolisten talutusnuorassa (riippuvaisia poliitikkojen, lääkeyhtiöiden, gatesin yms rahoituksesta), sen lauluja laulat, jonka leipää syöt.